6. THE DEVELOPMENT
STRATEGY OF OPEN ECONOMY IN KOSOVA AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES
(SME)
6.1. GLOBAL
STRATEGIC ORIENTATIONS
All societies are preoccupied with
their start in the new millennium. They are concerned with the fact as to how will they be
able to participate in dramatic changes that post-industrial, information society is
challenging.
Therefore, despite the dramatic situation
Kosova is in, we must set the question and try to seek for an answer as to where we are
and where we will be tomorrow.
In the eve of the new century, the
situation in Kosova can be characterized with the following:
- The state of occupation, but with an expanded front for
liberty, inside Kosova and the sensibilization and engagement of todays worlds
most relevant factors for overcoming this situation. Following this, it can be expected
that Kosova, if the internal factor consolidates, will enter into new century as a free
country.
- The economy of Kosova starts in the new era, after a long
period of a drastic decrease of economic activity (about 60% of GDP per capita and 70% of
industrial product), with evident technological neglecting of industrial capacities as a
lack of investments, decrease of productive potentials in state and public sector. The
need for rehabilitation and restructuring program of economy is very evident. Three
important points of industry, however, will have their perspective also under new
conditions: Electroenergy, Trepça and Ferronickel, after the consolidation will be main
factors of Kosovas export. Other branches need a complex technological regeneration,
which must be realized parallel with privatization and through joint investments. Growth
sources are also in agriculture and in the sector of tertiary and service activities.This
entire process starts also with a very private economy that now has an important value
(creates about 51% of GDP) and represents the basis for the development of a free private
initiative and entrepreneurship philosophy as a main factor of future development.
Another important economic factor is
diaspora.
Existing energetic and trafic
infrastructure make up only an initial basis for development, but it must be expanded and
modernized parallelly with the economic development. Infostructure (information structure)
must have high priorities in development.
- The level of development is characteristic for undeveloped
countries (about 350 US$ per capita). Social-economic problems that are a consequence of
this development level, are expressions of a low level of economic engagement of
population. Only about 19% of total population or 38% of labour capable population perform
economic activities. This determines strongly the future development strategy,
respectively its dynamics and structure.
- Disposable resources: natural, human resources; existing
capacities are a positive condition for development.
- some capacities of basic industry, energetics, nickel,
colored metals in conditions of independent development can overcome the depressive
position in pricing policy in interior market and barriers to export, which was one of the
most serious obstacles in their development. A further develop-ment of these capacities
must be done in the form of joint ventures.
- natural resources must be oriented especially in the
development of agribusiness and tourism
- the human resource fund the young population could be
a positive factor of development if it qualifies for framing in the flows of information
revolution.
Strategic
objectives
Considering actual and expected
circumstances, considering the level of development, social-economic problems and expected
trends of development in Europe and the world, the main strategic objectives of
development of Kosova would be:
- independent economic development within regional, European
and world economic integrations;
- maximal economic activating of labour capable population
through dynamic development;
- mobilization of natural, human and financial development
potentials of the population through the system of open market economy and
entrepreneurship as a fundamental philosophy of development;
- incorporation in technological development, information,
telecommunication and globalization flows.
Independance
and integrations
- An economic independence of Kosova is the condition for the
solution of Kosovas issue. It creates conditions for national, regional and wider
integrations. Independence and integrations are complementary processes in the spirit of
current processes worldwide. Economic independence of Kosova can be relied on human
potentials, natural resources, infrastructure and values created before. Analyses and
projections of expected development indicate that in terms of an open economy and civil
and democratic society, Kosova is able to budget its economic independence.
Growth rates
- Social problems and especially the need for economic
activating of labour capable population seek a high dynamics of GDP growth. Expected rates
of growth in the world are 2-3%, in Europe 3-4%, whereas in Kosova, considering present
problems and the need for relativizing them might have been at least 5-7% accounted on the
basis of the development similar to that of 1989. The sources of this growth might be in
consolidation of capacities of basic industry, privatization, restructuring and
regeneration of processing industry and particularly dinamic generating and development of
SME, and family economies. Such a dynamic development must go beyond the limit that
characterizes undeveloped countries.
Mobilization of financial population potentials
- Mobilization of financial population potentials and
cooperation with international financial institutions, strong technical and financial
assistance seeks for economic stability, open economic system compatible with market
economy rules. Mobilization of these potentials is possible with a clear concept for
encouraging entrepreneurship and development partnership, developing of entrepreneurship
skills and modern management and business education.
Incorporation in information revolution
- Kosova cannot wait to reach for a certain stadium of
development in order to get incorporated in information revolution, which is being
expressed by digitalization of economy and other human activities based on a rapid
development of telecommunications. Human resources with which Kosova has a development
priority, might have been in the function of modern development only if they are equipped
with information education , if they qualify for utilizing information technology and
participate in its further developments. In order to achieve this, radical transformations
in education system must be made.
Prerequisites for the realization of
strategic objectives in Kosova are:
- The open market economic system
- Entrepreneurship and SME development
- Consolidation, restructuring and privatization of existing
economy
Building
up the system of open market economy
Building up the system of open market economy
is a prerequisite for incorporation in international cooperation flows and in integration
and globalization processes. This is an indispensable prerequisite for developing
relationships with economic integrations, with developed countries, with international
financial institutions and as a prerequisite for the mobilization of financial resources
of population and diaspora. This implies an efficient economic system efficient
acting of legal state. Institutional bases of this system are elaborated in the previous
chapter.
The establishing of the system of an open
market economy of Kosova is indispensability because each autarchy would be fatal for the
quality of Kosovas development. Kosova as a small country and as economically
undeveloped has to be oriented toward an open economy. Characteristics of an open economy
are:
- liberalization of foreign trade (liberal foreign trade
regimes)
- liberalization of financial market (real exchange rate and
real interest)
- liberalization of labour market
The essence of this holds on economic
stability, which is greatly determined by the balance of payments and which will be a
difficult problem for Kosova. Therefore it will be further elaborated in this paper.
SME
and entrepreneurship
Development of SME and entrepreneurship must be the main
generator of economic growth. This development must be based on advantages that must be
developed further as well as in obstacles and weaknesses that have to be overcome and
relativized by means of strategies and measures of economic policy. Based on our overall
studies within this project and relying on the poll of 300 enterprises in July 1997,
identification of advantages and disadvantages or limiting circumstances for development
of SME in Kosova.
ADVANTAGES: |
DISADVANTAGES: |
- Tradition in developing family economy
- Experience created after 1990
- Relatively educated work force
- Natural resources
|
- Political and juridical uncertainty
- The lack of long-term vision of development concept
- Unestablished economic system and the lack of adequate
economic policy
- Lack of institutional infrastructure for supporting of SME
development
- Lack of financial support (banking system and funds)
- Disloyal competition from "gray" economy
- Lack of promotion activity
- Lack of contemporary knowledge for management, marketing and
finance, as well as the lack of business education network.
- Habits created after 1990 and business ethics.
|
Analysis of these advantages and
disadvantages suggest a policy and strategy of offensive development of SME and
entrepreneurship, a higher effectuation of advantages and relativization of disadvantges
can be achieved. The system of an open economy and its mechanisms determine the direction
of activities that must be undertaken.
The strategy of SME development must create
an arsenal of measures and instruments for encouraging SME development that have rapid
growth and an offensive concept of development. Different activities and measures can also
be undertaken for certain sectors: agribusiness, information services, manufacturing
programs, farm business, consulting services and business education services.
Restructuring of the existing industry
Consolidation and restructuring of the existing industry
must be done within the indispensable process of restoration from the consequences of
technological neglect and different abuses and bad management. Priority for investments in
reconstruction must have the increasing of possibilities for export and partnership with
international partners.
In this aspect, the most important
complexes of reconstruction would be as follows;
- Trepça, which can achieve its former level of production
with the "Ferronickel"s production with the rehabilitation of
technological infrastructure, management consolidation and indispensable reorganization,
- Electroeconomy of Kosova, with the rehabilitation of four
power stations units built before three decades,
- The complex of food industry, which should be privatized,
- The complex of textile industry, where a technological
regeneration, program corrections and clear plan of privatization is needed,
- Wood processing industry, where a technological
regeneration, a reorientation in production program, privatization is also necessary,
- Metal processing complex (shock absorbers, electromotors,
radiators, iron-sheet etc.), where also a technological regeneration and privatization is
needed,
- Batteries (industrial, automobile batteries, nickel-cadmium
batteries), where production consolidation and privatization is needed,
The implementation of the program of
reconstruction and technological regeneration of enterprises in the mentioned sectors,
within a period of 2-3 years (after normalizing of situation), can influence an overall
economic consolidation and can help achieve a level of production similar to that in 1989.
This can also consolidate export opportunities.
The consolidation of infrastructure is also
connected with the necessity for rehabilitation of road network, revitalization of some
most important directions. The electrification of railway is also stressed as a necessity.
The two hydrosystems (Ibër-Lepenc and Radoniq) must revitalize the problem of water and
enable increasing of production rendiments .